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Feb 10, 2013 12:00pm EST
for us, the golden number in all demographics is 2.1. it's the replacement rate. in order for society to maintain the population. the average woman has two have 2.1 children over the course of her lifetime. if they have more than that. the society's population grows. if she has fewer then over time the population contracts and dismirning. -- diminishing. >> to some extend the process has been going on for centuries. the fact that birthrates have been going down. >> right. you could see in america the first good data it comes in 1800. from almost the founding you are able to see the fertility rates declining. by the time we hit the second world war we were around the replacement rate of 2.1. 2.2. immediately after the second world war we had the only major increase in fertility rate. that was the only one in history, that's the baby boom. that's the term that hit us, everybody knows about it. it was a remarkingble moment, not only did it increase quite, it went as high as 3.7, i think, for white americans and 3.9 for black americans. not only did it jump up, it stayed up for an entire
Feb 3, 2013 9:00pm EST
mother we as a culture need to understand that we have today come from people that came before us you begin to understand the traits we have about consumption that's understanding the news as a form of entertainment and these are radical notions from his time that we inherited and had taken on to build our society. the other thing that is important and we need to think about it in the changes going on camera over and over again the newspaper business is not just a business. it's to public-service aspect of a democracy cannot function without an informed public that somebody has to be at the school board meeting at 2:00 in the morning to who is going to build the next school and as the press shrinks' today there are no people at those meetings keeping an eye on things and they like the darkest recesses of our society. we know about the hardships about poverty whether we want to or not. we know about corruption and the government because of the press and we know what is on the public agenda and sometimes too much like the fiscal cliff we hear about over and over again that these are imp
Feb 2, 2013 10:00pm EST
. a in it mr. last discusses the population implosion in the u.s. and its impact on the economy culture and politics. this program lasts about an hour >> host: jonathan welcome. this is a very meaty book and there's a lot going on in here. the main thesis of course is the falling birthrate problem and what are the causes of those falling birthrates and the consequences. the rising individualism and and american lives in the sustainability of religion and population agents. we will get to those during the next hour but first why don't you answer for me the question of every reporter has asked by his or her editor when that reporter approaches with a story idea. why does this matter? why is it important? >> guest: it's important because the fertility rates and demographics are what my friend and demographer in town here says it's like the tectonic plate shifting beneath the earth and demography isn't quite destiny but it's close. once you know what the demographic profile country and society's going to be then you are able to tell what are the confines in which this reality will have to l
Search Results 0 to 2 of about 3